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Brazilian soybean traders are poised to ship record volumes in the first quarter, driven by strong Chinese demand, according to three analysts citing shipping data. Current shipments do not yet reflect the new US-China trade war, and analysts expect escalation to shift more Chinese demand toward Brazil.
Chinese buying of Brazilian beans during the US-China tariff dispute supports South American export prices and keeps US soybean sales to China under pressure.
reuters.comAna ManoMar 28, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
