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Brazilian and US soybean export prices stayed above $500/mt despite recent futures declines, according to S&P Global sources. Chinese buyers are more cautious but still prefer Brazilian beans, and USDA confirmed only 264,000 mt of US sales to China in the latest week.
Persistent high origin prices and slowing Chinese US purchases weigh on US export demand, while Brazil keeps its share of Chinese demand, which supports Brazilian soy basis strength.
spglobal.comElizabeth Machuca, Joao Queiroz cezar pessoa, Grace TanJul 31, 2026After 250 past neutral trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
