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Idle capacity at Argentina's soybean crushing plants rose to 31% in July and has widened since, according to the CIARA-CEC chamber. Processors are losing business as strong raw bean exports to China absorb supply that would otherwise be crushed locally.
Lower crush throughput reduces domestic meal and oil output, which can tighten those export markets, while more raw beans leaving the country adds to bean supply. The net price effect is mixed across soybeans, meal and oil.
reuters.comMaximilian HeathSep 18, 2025After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
