
Paraná's Deral bulletin reports 97% of second-crop corn planted, with irregular rainfall threatening grain filling in hotter regions. First-crop soybean harvest is only 1% complete, and second-crop beans show drought losses in some areas.
Harvest of irrigated rice and other crops is progressing.
Irregular rain threatening Paraná's second corn crop is a modest supply risk that could support corn prices if losses deepen.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 31 past neutral weather events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.