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Aprosoja MT has asked the Ministry of Agriculture and Conab to revise Mato Grosso crop estimates after a lack of rain forced some producers to replant. Rainfall for September to October is below the 26-year average, and planting is behind the five-year average.
The association says the water shortage threatens the 2025/26 harvest.
Possible downgrades to Mato Grosso, Brazil's largest soybean and corn state, would tighten export supply and support soybean and corn prices.
revistacultivar.comNov 7, 2025After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
