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Oil futures rallied on Monday after the US and China agreed to temporarily cut tariffs for 90 days, with the US tariff on Chinese imports set at 30% and China's on US imports at 10%. WTI rose above $63 and Brent above $65, and ULSD and RBOB also gained.
The tariff reduction lifts crude and product prices by easing recession fears and trade disruption, which raises diesel and energy costs for feed buyers.
dtnpf.comKarim Bastati DTN AnalystMay 12, 2025After 36 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 16 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (81% higher; middle half +0.5% to +4.8%), and +5.9% over 20.
After 26 past bullish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.9% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -5.6% to +1.6%), and -4.8% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
