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Oil rose more than 2% after tanker-tracking data showed Saudi crude exports fell by about half a million barrels per day in December. Weak Chinese factory activity added concern about fuel demand, while record U.S. and Russian output limited gains.
Lower Saudi export flows tighten the global crude balance and support prices. Weaker Chinese demand offsets part of that support.
cnbc.comTom DiChristopherJan 2, 2019After 16 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (81% higher; middle half +0.5% to +4.8%), and +5.9% over 20.
After 36 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of Saudi crude exports falling about 0.5 mb/d in December tightened supply expectations and drove the rally, though the cited gain of over 2% is smaller than the 6.9% move.
