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Energy prices rallied on Thursday and Friday on trade optimism and new US sanctions targeting buyers of Iranian crude, including a third Chinese refinery and shadow fleet ships. West Coast refinery upsets, including a fire at Valero Benicia, pushed West Coast basis higher.
Higher refined product prices and crack spreads raise the cost of energy inputs, while sanctions tighten crude supply and support diesel and gasoline prices.
tacenergy.comMay 9, 2025After 26 past bullish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.9% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -5.6% to +1.6%), and -4.8% over 20.
After 36 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
