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Global diesel prices and refining margins spiked after the latest round of U.S. sanctions on Russia's oil trade. Analysts and LSEG data pointed to expectations that the measures would tighten supplies.
Sanctions that tighten Russian fuel supply raise diesel futures and refining margins, which lifts fuel costs for feed mills, transport and grain handling. Higher diesel costs also feed into freight and processing expenses for feed buyers.
reuters.comAhmad GhaddarJan 17, 2025After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
