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NYMEX ULSD futures settled at $4.4373 a gallon on March 8, 2022, up 51.58 cents on the day and $1.54 since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began on February 24. European low sulfur gasoil hit a record high as Russia supplies over 60% of Europe's diesel imports, and the UK and US announced bans on Russian oil imports.
Sanctions on Russian diesel threaten a major share of European supply, pushing prices higher and drawing US exports to Europe, which tightens US supply. Higher diesel costs raise feed transport and processing expenses.
spglobal.comMar 8, 2022After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
