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Soybean futures closed slightly higher on December 27, 2023, with January 2024 contracts up 3.5 cents while soymeal fell 0.90 to 4.30 dollars. Canadian canola rallied 2% to 660.70 per tonne after hitting new lows.
Brazil's Mato Grosso began soybean harvest at a record early pace, and Abiove cut Brazil's soy production forecast by 1.6 million tonnes to 160.3 million.
The Brazilian production cut and early harvest provide mixed signals, while weaker soymeal reflects ample meal supply. Feed buyers should watch Brazilian output revisions for further soybean meal price direction.
ibestmedia.comDec 28, 2023After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 18 past neutral weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +2.6% over 5 sessions (72% higher; middle half -0.4% to +3.5%), and +3.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Canola rallied 2% on Dec 27 after hitting new lows alongside soy market moves and Brazil crop cuts, indicating a rebound and volatility in the oilseed complex just before the 6% meal move.
