Ukrainian sunflower demand prices rose by UAH 500 per tonne to UAH 20,500-21,500 as farmers held back sales. Sunflower oil and meal port prices held near $910-930 and $190-195 per tonne, and the USDA cut its Ukraine crop forecast to 12.5 million tonnes.
A smaller Ukrainian sunflower crop than last year reduces oilseed availability and supports sunflower oil and meal prices, while weak soybean oil futures limit gains.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 18 past neutral weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +2.6% over 5 sessions (72% higher; middle half -0.4% to +3.5%), and +3.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.