Ukrainian sunflower purchase prices rose 500-1000 UAH/t as corn harvest delayed seed supply and Russian harvest forecasts were cut. Export demand prices for seed and sunflower oil fell, however, as rapeseed prices declined.
Mixed signals: lower Russian crop estimates support sunflower prices, while weaker export demand and sunflower oil prices limit gains, leaving sunflower meal and oil direction uncertain.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 18 past neutral weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +2.6% over 5 sessions (72% higher; middle half -0.4% to +3.5%), and +3.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.