Loading…
European heatwaves have cut EU sunflower yield forecasts 6-7% versus June, leaving them about 2% below the five-year average, with France showing notable downgrades. Ukrainian export offers for seed, kernels and oil showed a mild firming bias in July.
Crude sunflower oil CPT Odesa eased from EUR 1.18/kg to about EUR 1.06/kg by July 20.
Heat-driven EU yield cuts tighten European sunflower supply and support seed and meal prices, though the sharp drop in Ukrainian crude oil values signals some crusher margin pressure.
commodity-board.comCMB NewsAug 1, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 18 past neutral weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +2.6% over 5 sessions (72% higher; middle half -0.4% to +3.5%), and +3.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
