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Soybean prices jumped by double digits on January 17 after Brazilian consultancy Celeres cut its soybean output forecast to 117.2 million tons due to inclement weather. Reports also suggested the U.S. may lift some tariffs on Chinese goods, which could support soybean demand.
A lower Brazilian crop forecast tightens global soybean supply, and potential easing of U.S.-China tariffs could restore Chinese demand for U.S. soybeans, both supporting prices. Weak Chinese import data is a risk to the rally.
finance.yahoo.comSanghamitra SahaJan 18, 2019After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
