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US soybean crush hit record levels, with NOPA reporting 169.5 million bushels crushed in May and March setting an all-time monthly record of 181 million bushels. USDA raised its 2019-20 crush estimate to 2.140 billion bushels in June.
Analysts also flagged cool, dry Midwest weather and a possible corn yield above the June WASDE trend estimate of 178.5 bushels per acre.
Record crush boosts demand for soybeans and produces more soybean meal, which is bullish for soy complex prices and tightens meal supply for feed buyers. A larger-than-expected corn crop would be bearish for corn and would weigh on feed grain costs.
ocj.comBrianna SmithJun 16, 2020After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
