
The August 11 USDA WASDE put US corn production at 15.111 billion bushels, with yield at 175.1 bpa. US soybean production was 4.205 billion bushels, down 95 million bushels from July.
The report was viewed as neutral and close to trade expectations.
The estimates were close to trade expectations, so they did not change the supply outlook much. Prices closed mixed on the day.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.