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USDA's August WASDE raised Russia's 2020/21 wheat crop by 1.5 mmt to 78 mmt and Ukraine's wheat crop by 0.5 mmt to 27 mmt. Russian corn was left unchanged at 15.3 mmt while Ukraine's corn rose 0.5 mmt to 39.5 mmt.
The Sizov Report called the Russian wheat revision smaller than its expected 3 mmt or more.
A smaller-than-expected upward revision to Black Sea wheat supplies leaves export availability tighter than some had assumed, which is mildly supportive for wheat and feed-grain values. The commentary's neutral-to-slightly-bearish view suggests limited price impact.
blog.sizov.reportAndrey SizovAug 12, 2020After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
