
The IGC forecasts record 2025-26 global grain production, with total grains output up 5% and wheat revised up to 830 million tonnes. Maize output is projected at a record 1.298 billion tonnes, while soybean output is seen falling slightly to 426 million tonnes.
Record wheat and maize supplies that exceed consumption growth point to ample global stocks and softer grain prices, while soybean supply tightening is a limited offset.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.