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The US raised tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods as planned, and China's Commerce Ministry said it deeply regrets the move and will retaliate. The yuan weakened to around 6.80 per dollar while trade talks were set to resume.
Confirmed tariff hikes and promised Chinese retaliation directly threaten US soybean and feed grain exports to China, which pressures US farm commodity prices.
exchangerates.org.ukJames ElliotMay 9, 2019After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The tariff hike on $200bn of Chinese goods and China's retaliation pledge weakened the yuan to about 6.80, but the article's timing around the move's end makes it partly a consequence rather than a cause.
