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Ukraine exported nearly 9.9 million tonnes of wheat in 2026, down 17.3%, with value down 18.6% to $2.135 billion. Domestic wheat prices fell from 11-13 thousand to 8 thousand hryvnias per tonne, and river freight rose from $25 to $75 per tonne.
Agrarian losses from sea export limits are estimated at about $7.5 billion for 2026/27.
Higher river freight and blocked seaports increase costs and trap grain inside Ukraine, which lowers farm prices domestically and may build carryover stocks that later pressure world wheat markets.
112.uaШосталь ОлександрNov 13, 2026After 292 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
