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Ukrainian grain exports now face sharply higher logistics costs after Russia blocked the Black Sea deep-water ports. Trucking from central Ukraine to Reni or Izmail is about $65 per tonne, roughly double the pre-war rate, and exporters are shifting to shallow-water ports, rail, and EU border routes.
Higher logistics costs cut Ukrainian export competitiveness and push up the landed price of Black Sea grain, supporting world wheat and corn prices and sustaining demand for alternative feed supplies.
fastmarkets.comMasha BelikovaMay 5, 2022After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
