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Freight rates for Ukrainian deep sea grain cargoes have fallen sharply, with a panamax corn cargo to China now around $52-57/t versus a high of $80/t after the corridor was reconfirmed. Inspection delays at Istanbul, now up to three weeks, are keeping trade slow.
Lower freight helps exporters, but persistent inspection delays and demurrage add cost and uncertainty, limiting Black Sea grain flows and supporting corn and wheat export prices.
fastmarkets.comMasha BelikovaDec 9, 2022After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
