
Ukraine exported 9.89 million tonnes of wheat in January-October 2026, down 17.3% year on year, with export value down 18.6% to $2.135 billion. October exports fell 41% from a year earlier.
Egypt remained the top buyer at 24.8% share, while Algeria rose to 23.88%.
Lower Ukrainian shipments, driven by port blockade, reduce Black Sea supply to Egypt and Algeria, supporting world wheat prices while Ukrainian farm-gate prices fall.
After 434 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.