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FEWS NET's November 13 East Africa Seasonal Monitor reports June–September rainfall at 45–90% of average and Kenyan maize yield deficits near 28%, with losses up to 43% in high-potential counties. Heavy October rain pushed the Shabelle River at Jowhar close to bankfull, while the strong El Niño is expected to peak around December 2026.
Kenyan maize losses add to East African import needs and could lift regional corn and feed demand. Strengthening El Niño raises risk of weather disruption to other origins, supporting feed grain prices.
elnino.newsNov 14, 2026After 1,469 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
