UK FOB London pea prices have slipped modestly week-on-week as the 2026 domestic harvest under-delivered at roughly 69% of target, while stable and low Ukrainian FCA Odesa offers continue to cap upside for feed users.
Persistent port congestion, container imbalances and route disruptions are keeping ocean freight costs elevated for agricultural shippers even as some trade lanes through the Red Sea and Suez Canal show signs of partial normalization, according to CMB News.
Sunflower oil prices fell for a third consecutive month in September 2026, according to FAO data, as ample Black Sea supply weighs on the market. However, damaged Ukrainian port infrastructure, elevated maritime risk premia, and constrained Russian export routes are cushioning the downturn and keeping volatility high.
A sharply larger 2026 Ukrainian sunflower crop, combined with war-damaged crushing capacity and elevated logistics costs, is pushing domestic seed purchase prices and sunflower oil values lower as the harvest accelerates into early October.
Indian organic starch corn FOB New Delhi has edged up to EUR 1.32/kg as a lagging kharif maize acreage, a weak monsoon backdrop and firm global corn sentiment keep sellers in a strong position. Black Sea and EU supply remain competitive but cannot fully offset the structural risk premium supporting Indian export-grade corn.
Australia's Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries has briefed stakeholders on the EU Deforestation Regulation, which is now confirmed to take effect from 31 December 2026 after two consecutive 12-month delays. Australian beef and lamb exporters shipping product from October 2026 onwards must comply with the new rules, with geolocation of supply properties being the primary requirement for Australia's "low-risk" country classification.
Ukrainian corn FOB and FCA prices at Odesa edged lower on 24 September 2026 as active Black Sea export flows kept seller competition intense, while French FOB corn firmed and German EXW values held broadly steady. CMB News expects mostly stable to mildly softer indications across Brazil, Germany and Ukraine over the next three days.
Tunisia's state grains agency has purchased around 125,000 tonnes of soft wheat at $311.72–314.23/tonne C&F for October–December shipment, setting a clear pricing floor for Mediterranean destinations and limiting near-term downside for Black Sea and EU export origins.
Argentina's 2026/27 wheat output is forecast to fall sharply from the previous season's record, while war-related disruptions continue to constrain Black Sea exports. Together, the two developments are tightening global high-quality wheat availability and pushing Chicago futures to a multi-year high, raising import costs for buyers in North Africa, the Middle East and Asia.
Pakistan's Trading Corporation of Pakistan (TCP) has tendered for 750,000 tonnes of 2026-crop milling wheat on CFR Karachi/Gwadar terms at around USD 320–325 per tonne, but the high landed cost of imports — compounded by freight, port charges, and currency weakness — is expected to support rather than ease domestic wheat prices. Global benchmark prices from Ukraine, the EU, and the US have softened modestly in September, but analysts note Pakistan's firmness is driven by internal cost and currency dynamics rather than global supply tightness.
Forecast rainfall across the central and southern Plains is expected to improve seedbed conditions for 2027 hard red winter wheat planting, while the Corn Belt faces a divided harvest picture: drier conditions offer eastern growers a harvest window, but renewed moisture across Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota threatens further delays in the west.
Ongoing shipping disruptions in the Black Sea and Red Sea are compelling wheat importers across Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa to source from more expensive origins such as the United States, Baltic states, Romania, Argentina, India, and Australia. Higher war-risk insurance premiums and freight costs are keeping physical wheat prices structurally elevated even as futures benchmarks have eased slightly from late-August highs, according to CMB News.