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NOAA is tracking a strong-to-very-strong El Niño for the winter months, and National Weather Service forecasters expect a milder-than-average winter in Kansas and Nebraska. NOAA's outlook also leans toward wetter conditions across parts of the Southern Great Plains.
Wetter Southern Plains conditions could support drought recovery for winter wheat and other Kansas crops, while the broader El Niño pattern is a seasonal signal for global weather-sensitive supply, though the regional effect on prices is modest.
ksal.comKSAL News Radio 1150Nov 14, 2026After 29 past neutral weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
