
Heavy rainfall is falling across Hungary, with 10–30 mm in the south and over 40–45 mm forecast in the north within 24 hours. The rain is beginning to recharge topsoil moisture after a prolonged drought, though deeper layers remain very dry.
Autumn-sown wheat and rapeseed had weak, uneven emergence due to dryness, so the rain reduces near-term crop risk for Hungarian and Central European supply. The impact on prices is modest unless winter moisture deficits persist.
After 225 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.