
Poland's 2026 grain harvest totaled 35.3 million tonnes, down 5% from a year earlier, with drought and rainfall shortfalls cited. IERiGŻ forecasts wheat and rye prices for the end of 2026 and the second quarter of 2027, while USDA data show global wheat and feed grain stocks falling in 2026/27.
Tighter world wheat and feed grain stocks, combined with Black Sea logistics risk and high freight costs, point to upward pressure on wheat and feed grain prices, which affects feed buyers' input costs.
After 772 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.