
Emater-RS reports soybean planting in Rio Grande do Sul at 39% of a projected 6.64 million hectares for 2026/27. Heavy rain delayed planting in the north, while dry conditions limited fieldwork in parts of the south.
Corn planting is at 84%, and the wheat and canola harvests are progressing with yield losses from frost and moisture.
Slow planting and weather damage in Rio Grande do Sul, a major southern soybean and corn state, add modest upside risk to South American supply. The effect on prices is limited unless losses broaden.
After 328 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.