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December WTI closed down 0.20% on November 13 as the dollar index climbed to a 1.5-year high. The IEA projected a global crude surplus this quarter and cut its 2026 demand forecast by 90,000 bpd.
A stronger dollar and surplus outlook pressure crude and make dollar-priced commodities pricier for importers, while a firmer dollar can weigh on US export competitiveness.
| AFFECTS | 1d | 5d | 20d |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil (WTI)▼bearish | +0.1% | — | — |
| US Dollar (Broad)▲bullish | — | — | — |
After 588 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +2.7%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.