
Euro zone inflation hit a record reading driven by soaring energy prices, while unprocessed food inflation rose more than 5%. The food price jump adds political pressure on the ECB.
Rising food and energy inflation in the euro area raises production and feed costs for European livestock producers and increases pressure for tighter monetary policy that can strengthen the euro.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record euro zone inflation on Feb 2 raised pressure on the ECB to tighten, setting up the hawkish repricing.