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The euro rose against the dollar near two-week highs after euro zone consumer prices rose 10% in September, a record. Analysts expect the ECB to hike rates at its October meeting, though some doubt its tightening will be enough to support the euro.
Record inflation raises the chance of aggressive ECB tightening, which can narrow the rate gap with the US and weaken the dollar. Energy-driven inflation also signals higher input costs for European feed producers.
economies.comRami HaddadOct 3, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record eurozone inflation raised ECB hike expectations, supporting the euro early in the window.
