
S&P Global Ratings expects crude oil prices to remain range-bound in the first half of 2018, supported by OPEC cuts and limited by US shale growth. WTI was about $57.69 and Brent about $63.20 on the day the outlook was reported.
A range-bound outlook suggests limited upside for crude, which keeps energy input costs for feed producers relatively steady. The forecast depends on how US shale responds to OPEC's decision.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.