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The Federal Reserve held its benchmark overnight lending rate near zero, where it has been since March 15, at its July 28-29 meeting. The post-meeting statement said economic activity and employment have picked up but remain well below early-2020 levels, and the Fed committed to continuing bond purchases and lending programs.
A dovish, unchanged Fed keeps real yields low and the dollar under pressure, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities and the currencies of commodity exporters. The weak demand outlook also limits upside in energy-linked feed costs.
cnbc.comJeff CoxJul 29, 2020After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
