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OPEC+ crude output rose about 2.04 million bpd in October to roughly 41.23 million bpd, close to pre-war levels, with Saudi Arabia supplying most of the increase. The IEA projects a fourth-quarter swing to surplus but flags persistent diesel tightness and tanker attacks.
Rising supply and a projected surplus point to lower crude prices, while diesel tightness could keep energy and freight costs elevated for feed producers.
particle.newsNov 13, 2026After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
