◂ Event Timeline

Oct 25, 2026GEOPOLITICSGlobal

Presidents Obama And Trump Held Competing Midterm Rallies On The Same Day. They Clashed On Iran.

Obama and Trump held competing midterm rallies on the same day and clashed over Iran.

WHY IT MATTERS

Campaign rhetoric on Iran does not by itself change crude oil, feed or grain supply and demand.

AFFECTSULSD / Diesel

SOURCE
ibtimes.comOct 25, 2026

Price reaction & history

ULSD / Dieselno directional readSO FAR1d -0.7%5d -6.6%20d —

After 327 past geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.9% to +7.5%), and +0.4% over 20.

Jan 29, 2026Crude Prices Surge as President Trump Ramps Up Pressure on Iran-4.2%
Apr 2, 2026Oil price jumps and markets slide after Trump warning to Iran | Oil | The Guardian-2.9%
Apr 29, 2026Oil prices extend multi-day rally as Trump issues new threat to Iran+1.7%
Apr 2, 2026Oil prices jump and shares drop after Trump threatens more Iran strikes-2.9%
Jan 29, 2026Brent crude rallies above $71 on renewed U.S.-Iran tensions-4.2%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

ULSD / Diesel DIESEL · GP ▸

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