
WTI crude fell $3.33 to $53.43 on November 20, its lowest close since October 2017, while Dated Brent dropped $4.26. Traders sold off energy on concerns Saudi Arabia would refrain from production cuts after the Khashoggi dispute, alongside weakness in equities.
Gasoline and diesel futures also fell sharply.
Lower crude and diesel futures reduce energy and freight costs for feed producers and suggest softer input costs ahead, though supply-cut talk could limit further declines.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI fell $3.33 to its lowest close since Oct 2017 on fears Saudi Arabia would not cut output and on equity weakness, a sentiment and supply shock that dragged diesel futures down sharply.
Reports the Nov 20 drop (Dated Brent -$4.26) and attributes it to fears Saudi Arabia would not cut output plus equity weakness.
Nov 20 drop in WTI and Dated Brent on fears Saudi Arabia would not cut output, plus equity weakness.