Euro posts modest gains near 1.1100 as traders assess ECB's rate path

After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Apr 30, 2026Traders temper euro zone rate hike bets as ECB grapples with Iran war impact | MarketScreener+0.5%
• Sep 1, 2017Euro slips after six months of gains as ECB eyed | The National+1.2%
• Sep 12, 2024ECB dents traders' hopes for October rate cut+0.9%
• Apr 22, 2021Euro and U.S. dollar waffle as markets weigh ECB policy talk+0.5%
• Feb 8, 2022Dollar, euro trade sideways after ECB pushback-1.1%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jul 20, 2022Dollar rises vs euro as traders eye ECB rate decision+0.2%
• Nov 15, 2024Dollar notches weekly gain as traders reassess rate cut expectations+0.1%
• Jan 17, 2022Dollar edges up as traders assess Fed rate hike bets | Reuters+0.7%
• Mar 21, 2025Dollar ends week higher versus euro as traders book gains+0.3%
• Feb 2, 2023Euro, sterling dip as investors assess rate outlook+1.3%