
The euro fell 0.70% to $1.0913 after the ECB raised rates by 50 basis points and penciled in another hike of the same size. The Bank of England also raised rates 50 basis points but dropped its pledge to hike forcefully and said inflation had probably peaked.
A stronger dollar on divergent central bank tones pressures dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, while the dovish BoE shift signals softer sterling-zone rate expectations.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.