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Brent crude passed $113 a barrel on March 2, 2022, its highest level since June 2014, as traders bought non-Russian crude. Buyers avoided Russian oil over sanctions and payment and shipping difficulties, and Trafigura could not sell a Russian cargo even at a record $18.60 discount to Brent.
Gas prices in the UK also roughly doubled.
Loss of Russian barrels from the market, roughly 8% of global supply, tightens crude and diesel availability and raises transport and feed production costs. The sanctions-driven discount on Russian crude shows the disruption is in trade flows, not just volumes.
bbc.comJosh MartinMar 2, 2022After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent passed $113 on March 2 as buyers shunned Russian crude and shifted to non-Russian barrels, a trade-flow and supply shock.
Buyers shunned Russian crude and shifted to non-Russian barrels, lifting Brent above $113 on March 2.
