
Brent crude rose 7.12% to $115.62 and WTI settled 7.09% higher at $112.12 on March 21, 2022. European Union governments were weighing an oil embargo on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, and a weekend attack on Saudi oil facilities added to the upward pressure.
Sanctions on Russian barrels threaten supply, and the market is struggling to replace them, so energy and diesel costs for feed producers and transport are likely to rise. Higher crude also tends to lift vegetable oil and biofuel-linked feedstock prices.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.