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Chicago, Kansas and Minneapolis wheat March contracts fell between 3 and 11 cents per bushel, while corn slipped 2 cents and soybeans rose slightly. Russia formally announced its new-season export tax, a 70% levy over a FOB threshold set at US$200/t for wheat and $185/t for barley, based on a government benchmark.
Weekly US export sales included 7.4Mt of corn, 0.8Mt of soybeans and 0.6Mt of wheat.
The Russian export tax formalizes a levy already expected by the market, so its impact on Black Sea export competitiveness is largely priced in. Solid US corn export sales provide some underlying support for corn.
graincentral.comGuest AuthorFeb 5, 2021After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 37 past bullish policy events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.0%), and -3.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wheat contracts fell 3-11 cents on Feb 5 while Russia formalized a 70% export tax and weekly wheat export sales were modest (0.6Mt), keeping sentiment bearish.
