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A potentially exceptionally strong El Niño is developing, although “Super El Niño” and “Godzilla El Niño” are media labels rather than scientific categories. El Niño weakens Pacific trade winds and shifts rainfall patterns, which can affect rainforest dryness and fire risk, especially where forests are already under pressure.
Changing rainfall and drought patterns could affect ecosystems and agricultural production in exposed regions, but this article does not identify a specific crop or quantify a supply impact. Any commodity price effect is therefore uncertain.
coolearth.orgTanjia RahmanNov 10, 2026After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
