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AgWeb reports meteorologist Eric Snodgrass saying La Niña is weakening earlier than usual, and the CPC expects it to persist one to two months before fading in early 2026. The article says this reduces the chance of South American production problems that could trim a record soybean crop.
A fading La Niña lowers the risk of a Brazilian or Argentine soybean shortfall, which is bearish for soybeans and soymeal as the South American crop outlook stays large.
agweb.comDec 12, 2025After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
