
Wheat futures rose on Tuesday, supported by stronger corn and soybean markets. USDA raised U.S. wheat ending stocks by 3 million bushels to 743 million and global carryout by 4.78 million tonnes to 280.82 million; it also increased production estimates for Argentina, Australia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan.
U.S. winter wheat planting was 89% complete as of November 8, while condition ratings improved.
Higher global production and ending stocks add to available wheat supply and are bearish for wheat prices. Gains in corn and soybeans provided spillover support that helped wheat futures rise despite the larger carryout.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.