Live news: Traders price in Fed rate hike for December as bitcoin and gold retreat

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jun 17, 2026Gold retreats as Fed signals rate hike ahead, dollar strengthens | Kitco News+1.8%
• Oct 29, 2025Gold retreats as Powell tempers rate cut expectations despite Fed easing | Kitco News+1.0%
• Nov 2, 2016The Federal Reserve looks ready to roll with an interest rate hike in December-0.6%
• Nov 18, 2022Gold falls on Fed rate hike prospects, on track for weekly dip | Reuters-0.5%
• Sep 26, 2018Gold prices fall following Fed rate hike+0.2%

After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 23, 2022Oil prices slump as investors fear Fed rate hikes will hurt demand | Reuters+4.5%
• Mar 7, 2023Oil and Gold Prices Slump As Powell Signals Further Rate Hikes to Come - Markets Insider-7.1%
• Oct 23, 2018Canadian dollar shakes off plunge in oil as investors brace for BoC rate hike - The Globe and Mail-3.2%
• Dec 15, 2022Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates+1.3%
• Sep 10, 2020Covid and trade war fears drop oil and fuel prices - Container News+5.6%

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Jun 23, 2022Oil prices slump as investors fear Fed rate hikes will hurt demand | Reuters+4.3%
• Mar 7, 2023Oil and Gold Prices Slump As Powell Signals Further Rate Hikes to Come - Markets Insider-6.7%
• Dec 15, 2022Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates-2.2%
• May 19, 2021Oil prices dive $2 on fears of Asian pandemic, possible U.S. rate hikes | Reuters-0.2%
• Sep 29, 2025Brent Prices Retreat below $70 as OPEC+ Mulls Another Output Hike | OilPrice.com-7.5%