
Oil prices fell about 2% on December 15 as traders worried that a stronger dollar and further rate hikes by global central banks would weaken fuel demand. Brent settled at $81.21 a barrel and WTI at $76.11.
The decline followed three straight days of gains.
Lower crude prices reduce biofuel and diesel costs at the margin and weigh on energy-linked feed inputs. The stronger dollar adds further downward pressure on crude.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.