The US dollar edged higher after Fed Chair Jerome Powell rejected negative interest rates as a policy tool and warned of an extended period of weak growth. The dollar index rose 0.23% to 100.26 on the day, and traders trimmed bets on sub-zero rates.
Expectations of no negative rates support the dollar's yield advantage, which tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities and can lift emerging-market currency pressure that raises local import costs for feed.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.