U.S. soybean futures fell about 1% on May 13, 2021, retreating from an eight-and-a-half-year high as the dollar strengthened. The USDA projected 2021/22 U.S. soybean ending stocks at 140 million bushels and corn ending stocks at 1.507 billion bushels.
Brazil's 2020/21 corn crop estimates were also lowered.
A firmer dollar makes U.S. soybeans and corn more expensive for foreign buyers, which weighs on export demand and futures. Tight global supplies still limit the downside for feed grains and soymeal.
After 273 past bearish macro events, SOY moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.